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Kamala Harris leads the polls by about 3.2 points, according to FiveThirtyEigh, but that gap could narrow to 1.2 in the coming days.
The United States is entering the final stretch, after the Labor Day holiday, of an electoral campaign that will culminate with the elections on November 5, the first votes for which will begin to be cast this month.
Vice President and Democratic candidate for the White House , Kamala Harris , remains ahead of her Republican rival, former President Donald Trump (2017-2021), in the national average of polls, but in seven swing states, key to these elections, the margin is too narrow to have a clear result.
Harris leads Trump by 3.2 points in voting intentions nationwide, according to a compilation of polls by the website FiveThirtyEight. In Pennsylvania, where that difference is reduced to 1.2 points, early voting will begin on September 16.
A week earlier, on the 10th, the two candidates will face each other in the electoral debate. It will be the first for Harris and the second for Trump, after the one he held on June 27 with the previous Democratic candidate, President Joe Biden, who ended up giving up re-election on July 21 due in large part to his poor performance in that meeting.
By the end of September, at least four more states (Illinois, Minnesota, South Dakota and Virginia) will have joined the early voting process, accelerating the pace of a historic election in which Trump and Harris saw their candidacies formalized at their parties’ national conventions in Milwaukee in July and Chicago in August, respectively.
In this November’s election, the decision comes down to one simple question: “Which candidate focuses on the American people?” said national Democratic campaign spokesman Charles Kretchmer Lutvak in a statement Tuesday.
Harris, in his view, “knows that costs are still too high for Americans and has a plan to reduce them and strengthen the middle class,” while Trump “either doesn’t understand or doesn’t care, because his ‘economic plan’ is to give tax breaks to billionaires and large corporations.”
The opposing camp, in turn, claims that “there is no ‘difference’ between Kamala’s destructive economic policies and those of Biden” and maintains an intense campaign of requests for funds via email.
“We have to fight like hell over these next 63 days. The battle for the future of this once great nation is being fought right now, and your generous contribution of just $5 or more could make the difference between WINNING AND LOSING,” Trump said in one of those messages on Tuesday.
The economy, immigration and abortion are the main themes of both campaigns.
Harris will begin a multi-state bus tour on Tuesday with reproductive rights at the center of her agenda: she will start in Palm Beach, continue in Jacksonville, also in Florida, and from there make at least 50 stops in key states during the fall, according to the advance schedule.
Trump, for his part, has no events scheduled until next Saturday, when he will hold a rally in Mosinee, Wisconsin. On Thursday, his vice presidential hopeful, Ohio Senator JD Vance, will speak in Phoenix, Arizona.
“Trump is the only candidate who will put America first, protect our communities, and invest in America to protect our manufacturing and union workers,” Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Whatley said in a statement on Tuesday. EFE